A European Commission “stress test” report says that if Russia were to completely halt gas imports to the EU, more gas will continue to be delivered to homes and companies – if member states cooperate – even in the case of a prolonged six-month disruption. Estonia, however, is among the most vulnerable EU member states.
The report published on Thursday presents the results of a modeling exercise conducted by 38 European countries, including EU member states and neighboring countries. It analyzes different scenarios, in particular a complete halt of Russian gas imports into the EU for a period of six months.
A prolonged supply disruption would have a substantial impact in the EU, with member states in the East and the Energy Community countries (mostly located in Southeast Europe) being affected the most.
Finland, Estonia, the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia (FYROM), Bosnia and Herzegovina, and Serbia would miss at least 60 percent of the gas they need. This means that even private households could be left out in the cold.
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