Foreign trade dropped 40 pct

According to the preliminary data of Statistics Estonia, in April 2009 exports of goods from Estonia amounted to 7.7 billion kroons at current prices and imports to Estonia 9.5 billion kroons. Compared to April of the previous year, both exports and imports decreased about 40%.

Compared to April of the previous year, exports from Estonia decreased by 38% or 4.6 billion kroons and imports by 41% or 6.5 billion kroons. The decline in exports and imports was also partly caused by the high comparative indicators last year. Foreign trade deficit amounted to 1.8 billion kroons (3.6 billion kroons in April 2008). Compared to March of the current year exports decreased by 7% and imports by 4%.

In April the value of goods exported to the EU countries (EU 27) was 5.5 billion kroons with the share of 72% of total exports. Compared to April of the previous year, exports to the EU countries decreased by 35%. Exports to non-EU countries or the so-called third countries amounted to 2.1 billion kroons and decreased by 1.7 billion kroons compared to April 2008.

Imports from the European Union (EU 27) countries totalled around 7.3 billion kroons with the share of 78% of Estonian total imports. Imports from the EU 27 countries decreased by 44% compared to April of the previous year. Imports from other countries than the EU 27 accounted for 2.1 billion kroons and it decreased by 0.7 billion kroons compared to April of the previous year.

The trade deficit between the EU countries amounted to 1.8 billion kroons (4.6 billion kroons in April 2008). At the same time the trade balance with other countries than the EU was positive or exports to those countries exceeded imports approximately by 0.1 billion kroons.

Estonian foreign trade, January 2008 – April 2009

 

Statistics Estonia releases the first estimates about foreign trade on the 40th day after the end of the reference period which are then revised on the 54th day. Statistics Estonia will release a more detailed overview about foreign trade for April on the 26th of June.

Source: Statistics Estonia

Decline in economy 15.1 pct in 1Q

According to the first estimates of Statistics Estonia, the gross domestic product (GDP) of Estonia decreased by 15.1% in the 1st quarter of 2009 compared to the same quarter in the previous year.

In the 1st quarter, the GDP at current prices was 52.2 billion kroons having decreased successively in nominal terms already for two quarters. In real terms the GDP decreased successively already for four quarters.

Compared to the 4th quarter of the previous year, the seasonally and working-day adjusted GDP decreased by 6.1%.

The decrease in the GDP was influenced by steeply decreased domestic and external demand. The domestic demand decreased by 21.4% compared to the 1st quarter of the previous year above all due to the substantial decrease in household final consumption expenditures, gross fixed capital formation and change in inventories. The share of the domestic demand in the GDP was 98.9%. The domestic demand at current prices was less than the GDP last 8 years ago (in the 3rd quarter of 2001).

Household final consumption expenditures decreased by 17.6%. Expenditures decreased in all expenditure groups, but the decrease in expenditures on recreation and culture, transport and miscellaneous goods and services (e.g. financial services, personal care, etc.) had the biggest effect. The gross fixed capital formation decreased by 26.6%, whereas the decrease in investments in non-financial corporations’ and households’ sectors had the biggest influence on it. By fixed assets, investments decreased in transport equipment and machinery and equipment the most. Investments in dwellings also decreased fast.

Due to the weak domestic demand, imports of goods and services decreased steeply (-26.7% in real terms). Imports of goods decreased by 28.3% and imports of services by 19.6%. The decrease in imports of motor vehicles, machinery and mechanical equipment, chemicals and chemical products had the biggest impact on the imports of goods. At the same time, imports of refined petroleum products increased. Exports of goods and services decreased by 16% due to the weak external demand. Exports of goods decreased by 18% and exports of services by 10.7%. The decrease in exports of electrical machinery and apparatus, wood and wood products and motor vehicles had the biggest influence on the exports of goods. At the same time, exports of refined petroleum products increased substantially. The decrease in exports of freight transport services of road transport and travel services influenced the exports of services the most. At the same time, exports of railway transport services increased. The share of net exports in the GDP was 1.7%. This indicator has continuously improved during the last two years. The share of net exports in the GDP was positive last in the 3rd quarter of 2000.

The value added decreased in the majority of economic activities. A steep decrease of the value added in manufacturing, construction, retail and wholesale trade and transport, storage and communications influenced the decrease of GDP the most. In manufacturing the value added decreased in all economic activities due to a continually small domestic demand and by virtue of that, the decrease in orders. Exports of the manufacturing output decreased as well due to the weak external demand. A steep decrease of the value added of construction was caused by the decrease in construction volume of dwellings in the domestic market. The decrease in value added of transport and storage was caused primarily by the decrease in the value added of road transport and support activities of transport.

The decrease of the value added in financial intermediation deepened in the 1st quarter
due to the fast deceleration in the growth of financial and interest income, fees and commissions’ income.

Real growth of the GDP, domestic demand, exports and imports of goods and services,
1st quarter 2005 – 1st quarter 2009

 

The value added increased only in fishing and electricity, gas and water supply. The contribution of these economic activities on the GDP is minor (in total 4.4% of the GDP). The increase in the value added of electricity, gas and water supply was supported by the exports of electricity to Finland and Latvia.

Real growth of the value added of economic activities, 1st quarter 2009

 

In relation with modest production and consumption activity in real terms the net taxes on products continually decreased. However, the receipts of product taxes increased in nominal terms due to the low base in the 1st quarter of the previous year and good receipts of excise taxes.

Statistics Estonia releases regular revision of 2005–2008 based on supply and use tables and annual business reports on the 8th September. In addition, by virtue of European Union requirements Statistics Estonia revises calculations of the actual and imputed rent of dwellings since 1995 and reclassifies several units between non-financial corporations sector and general government sector since 2002. As 2008 will be revised as well, the updated data for the 1st quarter of 2009 will be published on the same date.

Source: Statistics Estonia

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